Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llapi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Llapi are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dukagjini are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Llapi hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the Superliga, while Llapi holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Llapi
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Llapi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20