Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drita · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Llapi 0-1 Drita, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Llapi 1-2 Drita
Original prediction
Drita
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.50 | 25.6% | 16.1% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 23.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 47.5% | 60.4% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Projected Score
Llapi 0–1 Drita
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Drita
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Drita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LlapiDLWLL
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
DritaWLDWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LlapiDrita
29.6Attack37.5
18.5Defence75.0
14.8Form58.3
23.1Power59.5
0.52xG1.69