Llanuwchllynvs
Bala Town
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bala Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Llanuwchllyn 3-3 Bala Town
Original prediction
Bala Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.75 | 24.1% | 28.0% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.8% | 21.8% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 54.0% | 50.2% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Bala Town
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Bala Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80