Llantwit Majorvs
llanelli AFC
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/26/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llantwit Major · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Llantwit Major 2-0 llanelli AFC
Original prediction
Llantwit Major
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.4% | 50.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 23.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.70 | 24.3% | 25.9% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Llantwit Major
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Llantwit Major has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00