Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Llaneros are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Quindio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Llaneros hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (72.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Copa Colombia, while Llaneros holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Llaneros
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
13.1%
Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20