Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Llaneros are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Jaguares are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Llaneros hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Primera A, while Llaneros holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Llaneros
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60