Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Llaneros are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Jaguares are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Llaneros hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (72.5 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Copa Colombia, while Llaneros holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Llaneros
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00