Llanerosvs
Independiente Medellin
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 2/20/2026, 11:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Llaneros are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00