Llanerosvs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 4/26/2026, 11:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Llaneros are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Llaneros hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Primera A, while Llaneros holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Llaneros
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20