Llaneravs
Racing Santander II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/27/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Santander II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Llanera 2-1 Racing Santander II
Original prediction
Racing Santander II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.1% | 32.3% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.2% | 27.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 34.6% | 40.7% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Racing Santander II
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Racing Santander II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40