Llaneravs
Marino de Luanco
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llanera · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Llanera 4-2 Marino de Luanco
Original prediction
Llanera
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.0% | 36.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 27.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.1% | 35.5% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Llanera
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Llanera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60