Llaneravs
Compostela
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Compostela · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Llanera 1-3 Compostela
Original prediction
Compostela
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.5% | 32.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.4% | 29.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.1% | 37.7% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Compostela
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Compostela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80