Llandudnovs
Cardiff MET
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff MET · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Llandudno 0-1 Cardiff MET
Original prediction
Cardiff MET
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 34.8% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 23.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.5% | 41.8% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff MET
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Cardiff MET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20