Llandudnovs
Ammanford AFC
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llandudno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Llandudno 2-0 Ammanford AFC
Original prediction
Llandudno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.3% | 68.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.10 | 17.7% | 17.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 8.24 | 11.0% | 13.6% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Llandudno
Probability
68.6%
Model confidence
68.6%
Llandudno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40