Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llandudno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Llandudno 1-4 Airbus UK
Original prediction
Llandudno
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.2% | 40.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.5% | 24.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.3% | 35.6% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Llandudno
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Llandudno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LlandudnoLLLDL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Airbus UKWLWLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LlandudnoAirbus UK
58.3Attack58.3
47.2Defence52.8
44.4Form50.0
50.3Power53.1
1.77xG1.72