Ljungskile SKvs
IK brage
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ljungskile SK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ljungskile SK 2-0 IK brage
Original prediction
Ljungskile SK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 43.3% | 46.6% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.8% | 22.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.9% | 30.6% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Ljungskile SK
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Ljungskile SK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20