GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ljungskile SK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ljungskile SK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while IFK Varnamo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ljungskile SK hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Superettan, while Ljungskile SK holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ljungskile SK

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

10.8%

Ljungskile SK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ljungskile SKLLDWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IFK VarnamoWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ljungskile SKIFK Varnamo
46.3Attack40.7
55.6Defence33.3
42.6Form31.5
49.7Power36.8
2.06xG0.96
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