Ljungskile SKvs
IFK Varnamo
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ljungskile SK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ljungskile SK 0-1 IFK Varnamo
Original prediction
Ljungskile SK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 43.2% | 56.1% | 12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.5% | 22.2% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 30.3% | 21.7% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Ljungskile SK
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Ljungskile SK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00