Ljungskile SKvs
Falkenbergs FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falkenbergs FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ljungskile SK 0-2 Falkenbergs FF
Original prediction
Falkenbergs FF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 38.1% | 33.5% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.8% | 23.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 35.1% | 42.9% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Falkenbergs FF
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Falkenbergs FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60