Livyi Berehvs
Zorya Luhansk
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Livyi Bereh · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Livyi Bereh 0-0 Zorya Luhansk, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Livyi Bereh 1-3 Zorya Luhansk
Original prediction
Livyi Bereh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.8% | 41.3% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.5% | 30.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.7% | 28.4% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Projected Score
Livyi Bereh 0–0 Zorya Luhansk
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Livyi Bereh
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Livyi Bereh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00