GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 10/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Livyi Bereh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Livyi Bereh 0-1 Veres Rivne

Original prediction

Livyi Bereh

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1742.0%37.2%-4.8 pts
Draw3.1129.3%28.6%-0.7 pts
Away3.1828.7%34.2%5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Livyi Bereh

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Livyi Bereh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Livyi BerehDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Veres RivneLLLWD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Livyi BerehVeres Rivne
66.7Attack83.3
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
71.2Power89.7
1.41xG1.43
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