Livyi Berehvs
Karpaty
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karpaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Livyi Bereh 1-1 Karpaty
Original prediction
Karpaty
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 28.3% | 31.9% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.1% | 29.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.6% | 38.6% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Karpaty
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Karpaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 17 · GA 1 · avg 3.40/0.20