Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pescara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Livorno 0-1 Pescara, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Livorno 0-1 Pescara
Original prediction
Pescara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.6% | 28.7% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.5% | 29.2% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.9% | 42.1% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Livorno 0–1 Pescara
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Pescara
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Pescara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LivornoWDWLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PescaraLWDLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LivornoPescara
36.1Attack48.2
52.8Defence69.3
39.8Form58.8
45.1Power60.4
0.68xG1.30