GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 9/2/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ST Mirren · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Livingston are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ST Mirren are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Mirren hold a 54.8-point power-rating edge (31.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Premiership, while ST Mirren holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ST Mirren

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

63.2%

ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LivingstonWWLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ST MirrenDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LivingstonST Mirren
25.4Attack50.0
38.6Defence100.0
21.9Form100.0
31.7Power86.5
0.64xG1.88
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