Livingstonvs
Inverness CT
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Livingston · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Livingston 1-0 Inverness CT, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Livingston 2-2 Inverness CT
Original prediction
Livingston
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.4% | 49.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.0% | 28.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.7% | 22.7% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Livingston 1–0 Inverness CT
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Livingston
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Livingston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LivingstonWLLWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Inverness CTWLLDL
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LivingstonInverness CT
44.4Attack27.8
72.2Defence61.1
50.0Form33.3
55.4Power42.8
1.24xG0.64