Livingstonvs
Arbroath
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Livingston · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Livingston 1-0 Arbroath, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Livingston 1-0 Arbroath
Original prediction
Livingston
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.7% | 55.6% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.4% | 26.2% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 7.66 | 11.9% | 18.2% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Projected Score
Livingston 1–0 Arbroath
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Livingston
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Livingston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LivingstonDLLWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ArbroathLLLWL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LivingstonArbroath
42.4Attack18.2
66.7Defence51.5
42.4Form33.3
51.0Power37.5
1.37xG0.44