GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aberdeen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Livingston are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Aberdeen are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberdeen hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (31.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Premiership, while Aberdeen holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aberdeen

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Aberdeen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LivingstonWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AberdeenWLWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 3.50/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
LivingstonAberdeen
25.4Attack33.3
38.6Defence50.0
21.9Form50.0
31.7Power47.8
0.78xG1.60
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