Livingstonvs
Aberdeen
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aberdeen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Livingston are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Aberdeen are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberdeen hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (31.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Premiership, while Aberdeen holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aberdeen
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Aberdeen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 3.50/1.00