Liversedgevs
Bootle
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bootle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liversedge 0-5 Bootle
Original prediction
Bootle
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.4% | 34.1% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.7% | 41.0% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Bootle
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Bootle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LiversedgeLLWL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50
BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
BootleLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LiversedgeBootle
0.0Attack88.9
0.0Defence55.6
0.0Form66.7
7.0Power67.8
1.36xG2.16