Liverpool Wvs
Sunderland W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liverpool W 4-2 Sunderland W
Original prediction
Liverpool W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 72.9% | 53.1% | -19.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.29 | 16.9% | 21.4% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 8.67 | 10.3% | 25.5% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool W
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Liverpool W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20