GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

London City Lionesses W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Liverpool W 2-2 London City Lionesses W

Original prediction

London City Lionesses W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.9323.3%26.1%2.8 pts
Draw3.8024.1%24.1%-0.1 pts
Away1.7452.6%49.9%-2.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–28%

Predicted outcome

London City Lionesses W

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

London City Lionesses W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liverpool WLLLWW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
London City Lionesses WWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Liverpool WLondon City Lionesses W
55.6Attack94.4
55.6Defence66.7
38.9Form83.3
49.2Power79.9
1.28xG2.03
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