Liverpool Wvs
Everton W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liverpool W 2-0 Everton W
Original prediction
Liverpool W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.4% | 44.0% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 26.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.5% | 29.5% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool W
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Liverpool W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20