GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/15/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liverpool W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Liverpool W are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Everton W are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool W hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the FA WSL, while Liverpool W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Liverpool W

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

63.6%

Liverpool W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liverpool WWW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Everton WLL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Liverpool WEverton W
54.5Attack36.4
57.6Defence43.9
62.1Form34.8
58.6Power40.1
2.11xG0.81
View match centre →