GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liverpool · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Liverpool are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union St. Gilloise are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (72.1 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Liverpool holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Liverpool

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LiverpoolLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Union St. GilloiseWWWDL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LiverpoolUnion St. Gilloise
96.7Attack33.3
60.0Defence66.7
70.0Form58.3
72.1Power55.2
1.97xG0.77
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