Premier League - Summer Series
Liverpool
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Sunderland leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Liverpool head into this in Premier League - Summer Series fixture in mixed form (DW), while Sunderland arrive in mixed form (W). Liverpool have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Sunderland over 1 games.
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Liverpool (86/100) and Sunderland (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.
Liverpool have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Sunderland have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.
Liverpool have generated 1.39 xG per game recently while conceding 1.10 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
There is no head-to-head data between Liverpool and Sunderland in the engine.
The GoalVio engine projects Liverpool to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Liverpool 3243%, Draw 2198%, Sunderland 4558%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Recent form
Liverpool
Sunderland
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Sunderland?
GoalVio's model predicts Liverpool to win with 46% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Sunderland?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Sunderland?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Sunderland?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.