Liverpoolvs
Sparta Praha
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/14/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Liverpool are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sparta Praha are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (72.1 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Liverpool holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Liverpool
Probability
78.7%
Model confidence
78.7%
Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40