Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Liverpool are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lask Linz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (72.1 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Liverpool holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Liverpool
Probability
80.2%
Model confidence
80.2%
Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60