Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Liverpool are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atalanta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 72.1 against 71.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
34.9%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20