Liverpool U21vs
Reading U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liverpool U21 1-0 Reading U21
Original prediction
Liverpool U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.3% | 49.3% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.0% | 22.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.7% | 27.8% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool U21
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Liverpool U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60