Liverpool U21vs
Leeds United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liverpool U21 2-1 Leeds United U21
Original prediction
Liverpool U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.4% | 45.6% | -21.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.85 | 15.5% | 25.3% | 9.8 pts |
| Away | 5.31 | 17.1% | 29.1% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool U21
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Liverpool U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40