Liverpool U21vs
Brighton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liverpool U21 5-1 Brighton U21
Original prediction
Liverpool U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.4% | 39.5% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.2% | 25.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.4% | 35.4% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool U21
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Liverpool U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80