Liverpool U19vs
Villarreal U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villarreal U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liverpool U19 0-0 Villarreal U19
Original prediction
Villarreal U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.5% | 36.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 24.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.2% | 38.5% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Villarreal U19
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Villarreal U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20