Liverpool Montevideovs
Independiente Medellin
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/18/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Liverpool Montevideo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Liverpool Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Liverpool Montevideo
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20