GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/18/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Liverpool Montevideo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Liverpool Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Liverpool Montevideo

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liverpool MontevideoLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Independiente MedellinDWLDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Liverpool MontevideoIndependiente Medellin
16.7Attack36.7
66.7Defence53.3
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power49.5
1.16xG0.89
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