GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 4/19/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Club Nacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.2 against 53.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Primera División, while Liverpool Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Liverpool Montevideo

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

14.8%

Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liverpool MontevideoWLDDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club NacionalWLDLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
37.7Attack50.7
66.7Defence55.1
46.4Form50.7
52.2Power53.4
1.08xG0.93
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