GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 6/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Liverpool Montevideo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.3% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

23.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liverpool MontevideoWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Cerro LargoWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
37.7Attack34.8
66.7Defence63.8
46.4Form42.0
52.2Power48.3
0.89xG0.63
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