Liverpool Montevideovs
Cerro
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 7/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cerro are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Primera División, while Liverpool Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Liverpool Montevideo
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20