Liptovský Mikulášvs
Šamorín
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 10/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liptovský Mikuláš 2-0 Šamorín
Original prediction
Šamorín
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.8% | 26.4% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 23.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.4% | 50.6% | 19.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00