Lipno Stęszewvs
Gedania Gdansk
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lipno Stęszew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lipno Stęszew 1-2 Gedania Gdansk
Original prediction
Lipno Stęszew
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.2% | 40.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.7% | 26.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.1% | 33.0% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Lipno Stęszew
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Lipno Stęszew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60