Lipno Stęszewvs
Flota Świnoujście
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flota Świnoujście · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lipno Stęszew 1-3 Flota Świnoujście
Original prediction
Flota Świnoujście
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.3% | 28.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 25.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.0% | 45.4% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Flota Świnoujście
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Flota Świnoujście has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60