Lipanyvs
Spartak Medzev
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - East · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lipany · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lipany 1-1 Spartak Medzev
Original prediction
Lipany
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.6% | 43.0% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 24.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.3% | 32.4% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Lipany
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Lipany has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80