Lionsvs
Rochedale Rovers
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 6/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rochedale Rovers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.2% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
88.2%
Model confidence
88.2%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40