Lionsvs
Preston Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/22/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Preston Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lions 2-1 Preston Lions
Original prediction
Preston Lions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.9% | 35.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.1% | 27.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.9% | 37.3% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Preston Lions
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60